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Data

Predictions Ledger

The Predictions Ledger lists every public prediction on this site with its confidence, the date it resolves, and the rule for scoring it.

Download the data as CSV

Open
3
Correct
0
Wrong
0
Hit rate
None scored yet

  1. At least one major AP or AR platform will ship a 'document-as-agent' feature, where invoices carry their own processing intelligence, before the end of 2027.

    Made on
    Resolves by
    Confidence
    medium
    Status
    open
    Scoring rule
    The feature must be generally available (not a pilot), and must put processing logic on the document itself, not a central workflow engine. Marketing copy alone doesn't count; there has to be a real architectural shift.

  2. By Q1 2028, a majority of Fortune 500 finance orgs will have removed human approval from at least one production AI agent workflow they require approval on today.

    Made on
    Resolves by
    Confidence
    high
    Status
    open
    Scoring rule
    "Majority" means >50% of Fortune 500 companies with deployed AI agents. "Removed human approval" means a workflow that required human sign-off in 2026 now runs fully autonomously for decisions within defined guardrails. Self-reported via disclosures, press, or direct signals counts.

  3. By 2030, spending on traditional B2B API integration projects (fintech, ERP, procurement) will be in structural decline as agent-to-agent protocols replace field-mapping projects.

    Made on
    Resolves by
    Confidence
    medium
    Status
    open
    Scoring rule
    Decline = published research from Gartner, IDC, or Forrester showing either flat or declining spend on enterprise integration platforms relative to 2025 benchmarks, coupled with evidence of agent-to-agent protocols in production at scale.

How was this data gathered?

  • Each prediction is recorded on the day it is made and never edited after that, except to score it.
  • Each one carries a scoring rule written before the outcome is known.
  • Open predictions are listed first, soonest to resolve at the top.

Published .

Cite this

Couch, C. (2026). Predictions Ledger. Lead to Cash. https://chriscouch.ai/data/predictions/

BibTeX

@misc{couch2026predictionsledger,
  author = {Couch, Chris},
  title = {Predictions Ledger},
  year = {2026},
  howpublished = {Lead to Cash},
  url = {https://chriscouch.ai/data/predictions/}
}